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2024-12-13 04:41:36

Market News: Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu entered the court for corruption trial.From next month, Wuhan will be exempted from the qualification examination fee for taxi drivers. It was learned from the Passenger Transport Development Center of Wuhan Municipal Transportation Bureau that from next year, Wuhan will no longer charge the qualification examination fee for cruising taxis and online booking taxi drivers.Liang Zhonghua of Haitong Securities: The general direction of "positive" macro policy in 2025 has been determined, and the Political Bureau of the Communist Party of China (CPC) Central Committee held a meeting on December 9 to analyze and study the economic work in 2025. Liang Zhonghua, chief macro analyst of Haitong Securities, said that judging from the statement of the meeting, the general direction of "positive" macro policy in 2025 is certain. Among them, "supernormal countercyclical adjustment" was put forward for the first time. Liang Zhonghua analyzed that "supernormal adjustment" may be different from QE (quantitative easing) in western countries, but refers to a traditional tool that has grown steadily in the past few years, making a breakthrough on the margin and playing the role of "keeping innovation" and "enriching and perfecting the policy toolbox". Judging from the policies that have been issued since September, this round of steady growth is a steady growth under the framework of "high quality". The high-quality framework will not change, and there will be no strong stimulation of flood irrigation. The meeting proposed to "implement a more active fiscal policy and a moderately loose monetary policy". Liang Zhonghua believes that next year's finance is expected to make further marginal efforts. It is expected that deficit ratio may improve. At present, 3.5%-4.0% is more likely, and the scale of special bonds may be marginally increased. Special government bonds supporting "duality" and "two innovations" will continue to be issued or increased. In addition, the debt-melting policy launched in November will also be the financial focus next year, and it is expected that special government bonds may be issued to supplement bank capital. In addition, the gradual interest rate cut will continue next year, and the structural monetary policy will continue to exert its strength. The meeting stressed that "it is necessary to vigorously boost consumption, improve investment efficiency, and expand domestic demand in all directions." In this regard, Liang Zhonghua believes that compared with Politburo meeting of the Chinese Communist Party's statement of "expanding domestic demand with the focus on boosting consumption" in July, this meeting pays more attention to expanding domestic demand, and its support is expected to be further increased in the future. Since the beginning of this year, with the extra-long special national debt funds in place, the consumption of consumer goods trade-in policy has gradually emerged. There is still room for further efforts to expand domestic demand policies such as replacing old consumer goods with new ones next year. Liang Zhonghua also mentioned that this meeting clearly put forward "stabilizing the property market and stock market", which shows that the policy pays high attention to the property market and stock market. As an important signal to pay attention to the economy and expectations, the policies of the property market and stock market are also positive.


According to the data released by Shanghai Steel Union, the price of battery-grade lithium carbonate (in early trading) rose by 200 yuan compared with the previous day, with an average price of 76,450 yuan/ton.In the arrest warrant of Jin Longxian, the South Korean prosecutor clearly identified Yin Xiyue as the "chief offender of civil strife". According to a report by South Korea's Central Daily News on the 10th, on the 9th, South Korean President Yin Xiyue became the first incumbent president who was banned from leaving the country. This was the decision only six days after the "12.3 Emergency Martial Law Incident". On the same day, when the South Korean prosecutor applied for the arrest of former Defense Minister Jin Longxian, Yin Xiyue was clearly identified as the first offender of the crime of civil strife. According to the report, the South Korean prosecutor identified Jin Longxian as one of the leaders of civil strife in the arrest warrant, and was suspected of suggesting the implementation of emergency martial law and participating in important civil strife tasks. Yin Xiyue, who ordered the declaration of martial law, was accused of being "the first offender of rebellion". It is understood that the prosecution also listed other major commanders who deployed armed forces to Congress and other places as accomplices in civil strife. (Zhongxin. com)Alibaba Cloud calculated that the registered capital of an information technology company established in Shanghai is 10 million yuan. According to the Tianyancha App, recently, Shanghai Green Net Siming Information Technology Co., Ltd. was established with Qian Lei as the legal representative and a registered capital of 10 million yuan. Its business scope includes information consulting services, socio-economic consulting services, information technology consulting services, information system integration services, information system operation and maintenance services, software development, data processing and storage support services. According to shareholder information, the company is wholly owned by Zhejiang Alibaba Cloud Computing Co., Ltd.


Liang Zhonghua of Haitong Securities: The general direction of "positive" macro policy in 2025 has been determined, and the Political Bureau of the Communist Party of China (CPC) Central Committee held a meeting on December 9 to analyze and study the economic work in 2025. Liang Zhonghua, chief macro analyst of Haitong Securities, said that judging from the statement of the meeting, the general direction of "positive" macro policy in 2025 is certain. Among them, "supernormal countercyclical adjustment" was put forward for the first time. Liang Zhonghua analyzed that "supernormal adjustment" may be different from QE (quantitative easing) in western countries, but refers to a traditional tool that has grown steadily in the past few years, making a breakthrough on the margin and playing the role of "keeping innovation" and "enriching and perfecting the policy toolbox". Judging from the policies that have been issued since September, this round of steady growth is a steady growth under the framework of "high quality". The high-quality framework will not change, and there will be no strong stimulation of flood irrigation. The meeting proposed to "implement a more active fiscal policy and a moderately loose monetary policy". Liang Zhonghua believes that next year's finance is expected to make further marginal efforts. It is expected that deficit ratio may improve. At present, 3.5%-4.0% is more likely, and the scale of special bonds may be marginally increased. Special government bonds supporting "duality" and "two innovations" will continue to be issued or increased. In addition, the debt-melting policy launched in November will also be the financial focus next year, and it is expected that special government bonds may be issued to supplement bank capital. In addition, the gradual interest rate cut will continue next year, and the structural monetary policy will continue to exert its strength. The meeting stressed that "it is necessary to vigorously boost consumption, improve investment efficiency, and expand domestic demand in all directions." In this regard, Liang Zhonghua believes that compared with Politburo meeting of the Chinese Communist Party's statement of "expanding domestic demand with the focus on boosting consumption" in July, this meeting pays more attention to expanding domestic demand, and its support is expected to be further increased in the future. Since the beginning of this year, with the extra-long special national debt funds in place, the consumption of consumer goods trade-in policy has gradually emerged. There is still room for further efforts to expand domestic demand policies such as replacing old consumer goods with new ones next year. Liang Zhonghua also mentioned that this meeting clearly put forward "stabilizing the property market and stock market", which shows that the policy pays high attention to the property market and stock market. As an important signal to pay attention to the economy and expectations, the policies of the property market and stock market are also positive.South Korea's ruling party is talking about letting Yin Xiyue resign in February or March next year, or will soon disclose the road map. According to several media reports on December 10, the ruling National Power Party of South Korea will announce the road map of South Korea's President Yin Xiyue's "orderly withdrawal", which may announce the time and manner of Yin Xiyue's early resignation, including the different possibilities of "resignation in February and general election in April" or "resignation in March and general election in May". Lee Yang-soo, a member of the ruling party in charge of political stability, said that compared with impeachment, the timetables of the above two schemes have advanced faster, and Yin Xiyue's resignation and holding presidential elections will reduce uncertainty and minimize public opinion differences; "Yin Xiyue should step down in a safer and more dignified way than impeachment", and the party needs to make a decision on Yin Xiyue's "orderly withdrawal" this week. Earlier, Li Zaiming, leader of South Korea's largest opposition party, stressed that Yin Xiyue must be successfully impeached on December 14th. (Interface News)Shibor reported 1.4700% overnight, down 4.6 basis points; In 7 days, shibor reported 1.7840%, up 4.8 basis points; In three months, shibor reported 1.7480%, down 0.5 basis point.

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